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The Jagaban Factor in the Buhari Matrixby Simbo Olorunfemi21st August, 2018



The Jagaban Factor in the Buhari Matrix
by Simbo Olorunfemi
21st August, 2018

“They Go Away Because We Go the Right Way”- Asiwaju Bola Tinubu

Many do not understand the Tinubu politics. Many are confused by it. Including the man from Kwara. He cannot understand it because it does not conform with the template they know and operate by. It always leaves them confounded. In their bid to explain or rationalise it, they are often left stranded.

Long before the 2015 elections, ahead of the birth of the APC, in the situation-room and permutations centre of leading politicians, they had come to the conclusion that the incumbent was there for the taking.

The opportunity was there. They saw an opening. Those smart enough however came to the realisation that even though the gap was there, the only way that gap could be marketable was to rally around a strong candidate, with a dedicated base.

That was how Mai-Gaskiya came into the mix for the Jagaban. The whole essence of the coalition, for him, was all about rallying forces behind a David to help him take out a Goliath that has been entrenched for almost 16 years. That was his primary objective

Many others crossed over or joined the team, including the perennial runner from Adamawa, the man from Kwara, the red-cap from Kano. They saw an opportunity, but did not see the vision. They thought it was just about cobbling a team together for the realisation of anyone’s dream.

It was not for Jagaban and he worked hard to ensure the man he saw was the most viable, in terms of the geo-politics, brand equity and the signs of the time to win. But for him, the man would not have won. Mai Gaskiya knew it. Those on the other side knew it. The battle line was drawn.

Of course, he had his own ambition, which he thought, at a time, could fly. He was even public about it. But long before those on the outside pushing against it, mostly out of fear because of his growing influence, realised it, he had shelved it, having done his home-work, but only kept them busy, only selling them a decoy.

When they claim they foiled his ambition, those who know would simply chuckle. He had an alternate in place long before they knew it. When they realised it, they kicked, but did not succeed. ‘Mere Commissioner!’ They could not.

I argue that some of these people do not really understand the Jagaban politics. They are so single-minded and reductionist in their thinking that they assume it has to always be about self, in terms of holding one public office or the other. So, they box him. To them, for 2015, the only reason he could have supported Mai Gaskiya would be if offered a position. The only reason he would support the man for 2019 would be in anticipation of support for 2023.

That amounts to thinking at the very base. That is not the stuff of strategic thinkers. The man is one. The difference between his politics and that of the man in Kwara, like many other politicians, is that he is able to see how dying to self today can be of strategic benefit for his tomorrow.

So while he gave up his Senate ticket in 2007 and went to work to build a political armada that started with his region, before berthing at the centre, the other man from Kwara could not see beyond 2015. He had his way and a few years after, he is looking for a way.

Knowing when to put self aside, die to self, for the objective of the collective is the key.

In the words of Asiwaju Tinubu, “there is nothing wrong with ambition. Without a degree of ambition, we would never strive to improve and develop ourselves. But ambition, restrained by nothing but itself, is a dangerous commodity.”

The calculations for 2023 are different. They do not know the man, even though they think they know him.

The bit they know is that the Jagaban factor was key in 2015 and would be critical in 2019. They are right about that. They need to understudy the man to decode what is going on.

Strictly talking politics here. I know some preacher-man might come with some sermon on morality, asking what this has got to do with the people. We have done a lot of writing on that. We might get to that soon, please.

I am a student of politics and our interest is primarily about power and the interplay of forces.

Thank you.

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Domestic violence is a violence or other abuse in a marriage.
Domestic violence could involve any body but I’m looking at it in a family setting between a man and his wife.

Domestic violence includes

  • Physical, verbal, emotional, economic, religion reproductive and sexual abuse.

Many people are going through a lot in marriages today, some Christan homes inclusive. This has caused a lot of harms in homes, churches and the society at large. So many women have lost their lives in the process,men inclusive but women are mostly at the receiving end. And they endure mostly even to the point of loosing their lives. This they do because of:

  1. The love they have for their spouse
  2. Because of their children
  3. What the society will say about them
  4. Because of their faith and religion.

Please when beating and sexual molestation becomes the case in your home, there’s need for separation.

Now in as much as the Bible frowns at divorce, I don’t think it’ll be reasonable for one to remain in an abusive marriage where his/her life is a stake. The same children you think about will still be maltreated, neglected and will be forced to face horrible situations the moment you are gone. The same society you are thinking of what they will say will still blame you for not speaking out on time. Your making heaven is even very slim because I don’t think your heart is clean in that condition. Your bad thoughts, unforgiveness and bitterness is enough to send you to hell. And instead of you to commit murder, I think you should separate if that’s the only option left.

Many women are going through alot. When a domestic violence involves life threatening abuses, there’s need for you to seek for help.

Many women have died in this process. Pls being born again doesn’t mean your brain should be suspended. Yes divorce is a sin but you shouldn’t die either because you are married. You are being asked to keep praying often times, yes but you could do that also while away. Many women are dying silently. Women please speak out in such conditions, don’t keep quiet. Make sure the problem is not from you. Make sure you are not the cause of it.

I have seen a woman beating blue black by her husband. Not once not twice. Infact the man always use cane,belt etc on her. And she’s asked to keep praying. What if she die one day? What if she couldn’t take it any longer and tries to defend herself and kill her partner in the process, what will be her lot?

Women should take the necessary steps the moment they see that things are getting out of hand.

Try to see how you could save the situation by involving your spiritual leaders, your both families,the people your partner respects so much and if there’s no changes please take a break while you pray and take the necessary steps to save your marriage.

Pls note that your being away is for the mean time. Even while away you are to remain and keep your body. It’s not a time to go about messing up. If you do that you are commenting sin. You are to maintain sexual purity. Even when your partner is doing otherwise. The only time remarriage is possible is when one partner is dead. See Romans 7:2,1cor.7:39.

Neighbors should as well look out for their fellow women/men. Please speak out for them. Some of them are in a tight corner and can’t help themselves.

Stay tuned for the next post on this same topic!

Say no to domestic violence.

What’s your take on this? Share your opinion.
Will you allow your daughter, sister, brother,son go through domestic violence?
What will you have them do;the abused?

By Chika Helen Nwabueze’

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By Oladimeji Ramon

A group, the Federal Social Democrats, says the credibility and integrity of the Lagos State Governor, Mr Babajide Sanwo-Olu, have been diminished by the alleged shooting of #EndSARS protesters by soldiers at the Lekki tollgate on the night of October 20.

According to the group, the Lekki incident has eroded the admiration that Sanwo-Olu won with his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The group, in statement on Sunday signed on its behalf by Olutola Mobolurin, also condemned the harassment of #EndSARS protest leaders through the freezing of their bank accounts and stopping them from travelling outside the country.

The FSD’s statement was titled, ‘Statement by the Federal Social Democrats On the #EndSARS Movement and Violence in the Wake of Lekki Shootings.’

The group said, “Governor Sanwo-Olu, who before now has been credited with responsible and energetic response to the COVID-19 pandemic, has by this one act lost his credibility and integrity for many. He has a big task in regaining the confidence of the public and youths; his credibility gap surrounding what happened at the Lekki Toll Plaza is not helped by the insensitive bluster of Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu at the governor’s residence stating that those who were injured and presumably those who died had questions to answer.”

Though the group condemned the destruction of public assets and looting that trailed the shootings at the Lekki tollgate, it said the mayhem pointed to the alienation of a large number of youths from society by government.

It said, “The so-called hoodlums are the youths that have been denied any stake in society by the self-dealing and state capture that have characterised governance over the last 30 years. Millions of our youths have been uneducated, unemployable and with no meaningful social safety net. Even for the millions who are educated and skilled, long-term unemployment has been their experience in the Nigerian prebendal political economy that serves primarily the interests of public office holders and their cronies.

“Some of the ‘hoodlums’ responsible for the trashing of Lagos are the youths and ‘the toughies’ that many politicians have over the years employed to subvert the democratic process through intimidation of voters and perpetration of violence during elections.”

The group said the organisers of the #EndSARS protests deserved commendation for the resourcefulness, transparency and accountability which they demonstrated.

The group condemned “the growing reports of compilation of names of the assumed leaders and facilitators of the protests for government reprisals.”

It said, “Those that are being targeted are reportedly being prevented from travelling outside Nigeria while accounts of some have been frozen. This is hardly the hallmark of a democratic government that is interested in dialoguing with the youths or learning positive lessons from the #EndSARS protests. It is also a violation of the spirit of government’s acceptance of the 5 for 5 agenda. The President should stop all these acts of witch-hunt.”

The FSD solicited support for the Lagos State Government to rebuild and replace the vandalised public assets.

  • PunchNg

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• Nigeria’s Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala had been expected to be confirmed as leader on Monday

By Richard Partington

The race to find a new leader of the World Trade Organization has been thrown into renewed uncertainty after the cancellation of a key appointment meeting following the US presidential election.

The Geneva-based WTO, which acts as an international arbiter for trading disputes, said it had put off a meeting scheduled for Monday that had been called to appoint Nigeria’s Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala as its next director general.

Donald Trump’s administration opposed her selection in one of its final acts before the US election, despite the former Nigerian finance minister securing the overwhelming backing of the WTO’s 164 members.

The special meeting of the trade body’s general council had been convened to take a formal decision on the appointment. Officials had been set to put forward Dr Okonjo-Iweala as the candidate most likely to attract a majority, after most countries expressed a preference for her over South Korea’s Yoo Myung-hee.

Okonjo-Iweala had moved a step closer to becoming the first woman and the first African to be director of the global trade watchdog after securing backing from the EU, China, Japan and Australia. Liam Fox, the leading Brexiter and former international trade secretary, had run as the UK government’s preferred candidate but failed to win enough support from other countries to reach the last two in the process.

Trade experts said Joe Biden defeating Trump in last week’s election may have led to countries calling for a delay in the WTO leadership race, with the aim of securing the Biden White House’s backing for Okonjo-Iweala after he takes charge in January.

The delay in selecting a new WTO director general comes at a fragile moment for the world economy amid the second wave of Covid-19, and after years of criticism of the WTO and calls for reform from Trump.

The WTO said the meeting would be postponed until further notice, during which time the organisation would continue undertaking consultations with delegations from countries around the world to pick a new leader.

It said in a statement: “For reasons including the health situation and current events, delegations will not be in a position to take a formal decision on 9 November.”

  • TheGuardian

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala

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